"It is estimated that in 2020, the economic operation of the machinery industry will show a trend of low before and high after, and gradually recover. If the epidemic situation can be ended as soon as possible, the growth rate of industrial added value will still reach about 5%, and the indicators of operating income and total profit will maintain a small growth." Although the outbreak of new coronavirus pneumonia has a great impact on the industry, and although enterprises are still faced with many difficulties in resuming production, Chen Bin, executive vice president of China Machinery Industry Federation, is still full of confidence when talking about the operation and future development of the machinery industry this year. At the online conference held by China Machinery Industry Federation on February 25, he announced the forecast of the operation trend of the machinery industry to the media in the way of Tencent video live broadcast on behalf of the China Machinery Federation.

He said that 2020 is the year of building a moderately prosperous society in an all-round way and the end of the 13th five year plan. In the face of current difficulties and challenges, the whole industry should strengthen confidence, inspire spirit and take the initiative to participate in the work of effectively fighting the epidemic and orderly resuming production with practical actions, so as to make due contributions to realizing the steady and healthy development of the industry and ensuring the completion of the annual tasks and targets on schedule.

There are seven barriers for enterprises to resume normal production and operation

Since the late January of 2020, the rapid spread of new coronavirus pneumonia has had an impact on China's social operation and economic development. As the pillar industry of national economy, the production and operation of machinery industry is also facing great challenges.

According to Chen Bin, the China Federation of machinery industry carried out special investigation for the first time to understand the impact of the epidemic on the machinery industry. According to the feedback from thousands of enterprises, the impact is mainly manifested in the following aspects:

The resumption of work was delayed and production was hindered. In order to prevent and control the spread of the epidemic, many local governments have issued notices to postpone the resumption of work. The resumption time of machinery enterprises is generally delayed. More than 90% of the enterprises have reduced the actual production time due to the delay, and the production and operation plan in the first quarter was forced to be adjusted.

Traffic restrictions make logistics transportation difficult. After the outbreak of the epidemic, logistics transportation, especially inter provincial logistics, was basically suspended, which had a significant impact on production activities. On the one hand, the transportation of raw materials, spare parts, outsourcing and purchased parts is not smooth, which leads to the production difficult to guarantee; on the other hand, it is difficult to deliver the sold products, and it is difficult for the equipment debugging and installation personnel to arrive at the site to work.

The upstream and downstream of the industrial chain are not connected smoothly, and the supply chain is difficult to guarantee. The industrial chain of machinery industry is long, and most of the enterprises in the industrial chain are scattered in different regions of the country. Due to the different epidemic situation in different regions, the time limit for stopping production and resuming production is inconsistent, and the matching difficulty of production and supply between upstream and downstream enterprises is obviously increased, which destroys some relatively fragile industrial ecology.